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Slimebeast said:

One thing is for sure, GT5 will have a very hard time to break the 10 million barrier, and if it will it won't be by much. It's not only that Playstation 3 is smaller than PS1&PS2, it's also the fact that the care game genre isn't as big as before.

The problem is to predict Halo: Reach. Is Halo on a decline? Will Reach be able to outsell Halo 3 or not? At the moment I feel it won't, but I believe it will pass 10 million copies.

So Halo: Reach will outsell GT5 by at least a small margin.

I disagree car games are not as big but that's a lot more selection of racing games. I can see some casual racers who bought GT in the past may be satified with Forza 3 and skip GT5. When it comes to serious sims, we have Rfactor and Iracing with laser scan tracks. With this in mind , I think Halo will outsell GT5. I hope I'm wrong as like love racing sim more than FPS.