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kowenicki said:

Whichever has the killer app.

Anyone who thinks that people will buy MOVE as an optional way to play existing games or future games is kidding themselves. 

There HAS to be a NEED to buy either KINECT or MOVE...   

So whoever can say this is a game you really need to play and this is only on KINECT/MOVE will sell the most.

From the motion only stuff I have seen so far KINECT has the edge with the fitness and sports titles.

 

 

Actually, I pretty much agree with the "Killer App" thing.  And so far, I'd have to say Kinect looks closer to that with Dance Central, Your Shape or (for the vocal hardcore) Child of Eden.  Nothing for Move right now really seems like it'll have the same sort of pull.

I do have to say though that 3rd party software in general for both is looking surprisingly pathetic.  I thought Wii had it bad with 3rd parties, but Wii's 2006 3rd party lineup absolutely slaughters both, combined even.