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jarrod on 21 June 2010
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ElGranCabeza said:
jarrod said:
c0rd said:

As for my prediction? I see GT5 selling at least 1.5mil in Japan, 3 million in America, and 5.5 million in Europe, which would clear 10. I just don't know how far it can go after that, though.

Your Japan figure is WAY too high.  GT4 barely cleared a million in Japan, GT5P only sold about 250k (300k were bundled a year later) and GT PSP only did about 250k also.  

Honestly, I think GT5 will be lucky to break a million in Japan, 1.5 would be an insane turnaround for the series there (even GT3 came just shy of 1.5m), where it's been in clear decline (mirroring Mingol almost exactly actually).  More realistically, I think it'll do between just 700-900k.

I see GT5 topping out at 500k in Japan after The Best release and before bundles. Preorders did not pick up at all after the info and new trailers came out. The sales will be made up in NA and EU though. Mingol 6 on the other hand will probably sell more than Mingol 5, I can see that doing 800-900k in Japan if it releases close to Move release - that is by Summer 2011 at the latest. I think both Mingol 6, Mintennis and possibly a new Min, either Min Sports or Min Baseball, will be released within a year of PS Move release in Japan.

Well, I tend to think it'll do better than that.  Especially when Sony inevitably gives it away via bundles (which more than doubled GT5P "sales" in Japan).

I do agree on Mingol though, and I think it could really be a killer app for Move.  Something like Minna no Yakyuu could be really huge too imo.