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jarrod on 21 June 2010
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c0rd said:
jarrod said:
c0rd said:

As for my prediction? I see GT5 selling at least 1.5mil in Japan, 3 million in America, and 5.5 million in Europe, which would clear 10. I just don't know how far it can go after that, though.

Your Japan figure is WAY too high.  GT4 barely cleared a million in Japan, GT5P only sold about 250k (300k were bundled a year later) and GT PSP only did about 250k also.  

Honestly, I think GT5 will be lucky to break a million in Japan, 1.5 would be an insane turnaround for the series there (even GT3 came just shy of 1.5m), where it's been in clear decline (mirroring Mingol almost exactly actually).  More realistically, I think it'll do between just 700-900k.

GT3 was just shy of 1.5mil?

Well, I'm using VGC figures, since I'm too lazy to get anything else. Are you looking at Famitsu / MC / w/e else?

And if you don't mind, what site are you using in particular? Seems you always have the numbers right on hand.

Also, since Japan is a small factor in the success of the latest games' sales, I don't think it'll hurt the 10 million(plus) chances much.

I'm using Famitsu.  Good resources for them are Japan Game Charts, Garaph or Geimin (Japanese, but the have Media-Create data too!).

I tend to agree though, Japan's not too big a factor for GT (and never has been) plus any lost sales there could be easily made up elsewhere.