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Recon1O1 said:

No.  The userbase is smaller,  Others would be GT5s best market and it is not coming out of the recession  as quickly. Racing sims aren't as big as they were back in the GT3 days if other franchises are an indicator.  The dropoff in sales for GT4 may be related to the PS3 launch somehow or it might have been the start of a trend.  

I think my 10.5m guess for GT5 LT will prove optimistic while 12.5 for Reach is conservative.  Why would it sell less than H3 again?  I don't follow the logic.  There will be roughly 17 million more potential buyers for what could be Bungie's last hurrah.   

PS3 fans are quick to quote previous sales to back up their guesswork but for a Halo title sales mean just the opposite.   If you honestly think ODST or HWars have burned out the franchise or it's fans you are in for a surprise. 

the 17m more potential buyers don't want HALO as they would have bought it the first time.

HALO's hardcore base is around 5-6m,other just hoped because of the hype and COOLNESS and slowly it reached 10m with HALO REACH

 

a little more time and sales following and you will learn that userbase doesn't always matter

why did most SAN ANDREAS not bought by 100m users PS2 has at its release time because all people don't buy the game

 

ODST and HALO wars didn't buned out the franchise but it didn't do any good too.

 

also HALO 3 didn't have much competition near its release and the fact that it was the first HALO this GENERATION increased the hype surrounding it

 

GT has always been a bigger franchise and it will prove this time too

 

why do you think GT3 with a much smaller fanbase still did so well