My opinion is that the Arcade model has been sitting for close to 2 years at $199. I am expecting it to be $129.99. I think its primary differences will be similar to now. I think it will be without hard drive and headset, otherwise identical.
I think the new 250 GB model that is selling at $299 will be reduced in price (likely around September). I think this will go to $199 (Sony can and will be ready to match a paltry $50 drop)
So that leaves the Kinect bundles and the question being do they go with one bundle or two. I think they they go with one bundle and I think it will be priced at $299 bundled (remember this bundle is to appeal to families and wives and sorry but a $399 bundle does not). Here is the bonus though for the hardcore crowd that wants to pick up the Kinect bundle. It will have a larger Hard Drive probably 500GB.
As far as Kinect standalone, $99 seems much more likely then $149. At $149 I pass.
