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I've been saying this forever and I still stick by it.  Racer's are no where near as popular as they were last gen mainly due to the multiplayer focus on consoles switching to FPS's, whereas Racers used to be a huge market for multiplayer.  Also I think the constant delays have hurt this title.  Honestly I think alot of people are overselling this game for the most part.  I still expect for it to do big numbers 6-8 million lifetime but nowhere near the 12 million alot of people on here have been predicting.  Whereas Reach will sell 10 million easily.