Out of a base of 61M units (Americas and EMEAA), Just Dance on Wii has sold 3.3M units.(There have been no sales in Japan according to VG Chartz). That means the game has been bought by roughly one out of every 20 Wii owners (5.4%).
Based on a similar attach rate, there would have to be approximately 92.5M Kinect-enabled Xbox 360s -- or essentially one for every mile that between the Sun and the Earth.
The Xbox 360 has been marketing primarily to male game players age 15-34. This game does not fit that demographic. So there would have to be new consoles (as well as Kinects) bought. It could drive sales. However, we have no idea if there will be an entry-level (Arcade equivalent) in place in November and if there is, what its cost will be or what it will feature. We do not even know the true price of Kinect (we only know the guesstimated price that everyone is advertising).
Legend11's estimate is off by at least a factor of 10.
Mike from Morgantown
 I am Mario.I like to jump around, and would lead a fairly serene and aimless existence if it weren't for my friends always getting into trouble. I love to help out, even when it puts me at risk. I seem to make friends with people who just can't stay out of trouble. Wii Friend Code: 1624 6601 1126 1492 NNID: Mike_INTV |
