Unless it ends up not working "as advertised", Kinect hands down, for a very simple reason - the exergames (exercise games) market. The exercise market is a huge market (Wii Fit anyone? EA sports active anyone? Just dance anyone?), much bigger than the core gamer market, and IF kinect ends up working as advertised, it will solve the main peeve that people have with Wii exercise games (a peeve that will also exist wth Move exercise games) - the controllers that get in the way. Contrary to core games where people prefer having a controller, exercise/fitness games are games where the advantage lies with whichever console doesn't use a controller (as long as it indeed recognizes what you do well).
This analysis by the way is by a Wii owner who has no intention of buying neither Move nor Kinect (and neither a PS3 nor a XBox360).
Currently Playing: Shin Megami Tensei: Devil Survivor Overclocked, Professor Layton and the Curious Village
Anticipating: Xenoblade, The Last Story, Mario Kart 7, Rayman Origins, Zelda SS, Crush3D, Tales of the Abyss 3DS, MGS:Snake Eater 3DS, RE:Revelations, Time Travellers, Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney, Luigi's Mansion 2, MH TriG, DQ Monsters, Heroes of Ruin
