| joeorc said: based on current trend's that's most likely never going to happen because 3rd party exclusives are less and less likely unless you incentive them. it's I think a pipe dream of old to get that complete 3rd party exclusivity anymore simply because it's not worth to just go one platfor unless their's an incentive.Even if you have the largest market share among the game console's the other's still have plenty of install base you would have to pass anyway. which still would take atleast a year or two. which by that time they may have released one new system of their own. consider this say dintendo does release early..say 2011 there is still more Wii's on the market than that Wii replacement. now what will it offer over the current Wii? if you notice there will not be much but higher graphic's and maybe a better online structure. what price point will it be at $300.00 pretty much inline with both the xbox360 or the PS3 the Nintendo product's are not going to get a sizable jump in the technology front over these already on the market with out costing the consumer more money. Nintendo has alway's went the LOW end. if they went the High end it would be exciting to say the least. but i very much doubt it. that still leaves the : PC the XBOX360 Playstation 3 an nintendo's very own Wii all still on the shelf. the 3RD party developer's are not going to leave the previous generation system's out in the cold for only one system esp. since the other's have healty sale's. but lets say for sake of argument the Wii replacement will be worth more than the current Wii, but not as much as the xbox360 or the PS3 because the hardware is expensive ands even now in order to be near the tech. it's going to cost Nintendo some money . the Wii is still selling fantastic. the point is were almost at sturation point for total system's in the market Retail space is so small. so this say take's over the space of the PSP..right. So now sony has little to no space for their PSP. that still does not take away from the fact that the Wii will still be taking up quite a bit of space of it's own. no one is going to walk into Walmart and see only Nintendo system's esp. when both the xbox360 and the PS3 are haveing strong sale's. the Wii's replacement I would say is not going to be released next year. i doubt even in 2012 also. the time of the single one system dominance is pretty much over. in game console's Microsoft is a very strong system slaes on the market and now sony has built the PS3's lossed market share back some of what it lost. it still lost quite a bit but that's a whole other topic. |
Okay, you're not following... the reason exclusives are fewer and farther between, and usually need to be bought, is precisely because no console amassed a PS2 like lead (ie: huge AND early). Wii2 could do that if it's handled right, and I think Nintendo's going to try...
I also really have no idea what differentiating factor Wii2 will sport, but I'm sure there'll be something. And again, 3DS is somewhat telling as it's not only done that but also incorporated basically everything PSP had over DS originally... expect Wii2 to do the same with 360/PS3 (HD, voice-chat, Blu-ray, etc). But really, you're wrong about Nintendo never going hi-spec... Wii's quite literally the first console where they've held back in that regard (well, Famicom too arguably).
And really, Q4 2011 basically makes the most sense imo. A 5 year cycle for Wii seems perfect, and Nintendo already moving on from Wii internally (and 3rd parties never really showed up)... I know some don't like to hear it (MS and Sony likely included, they want to hold on as long as possible), but Wii 2 really is on the horizon and it is going to jumpstart next gen...
