I haven't decided which I think will win
But I would like to point out the price comparison is only valid if the consumer does not already have the console. I do not expect move or kinect to push much hardware so I don't expect the price comparison in the OP to be very relevant.
PSmove = 100 assuming you don't have the PSeye for one player only
Kinect = 200 (150 for camera 50 for a game to play on it)
I don't see anything in the kinect lineup that will convince the extended audience to throw away their Wiis and buy kinect, nor even to buy kinect instead of a Wii if they currently own nothing (price comparison then is Wii = 200 with 1 game, cheapest 360 is 350 with 1 game) Nor do I see anything that could entice the current 360 userbase
Move has a couple of games that should appeal to us forum dwellers at least, and the entry price is very cheap if you already own a PS3
