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I don't think he will be reelected. I have read that US presidential elections are won by the candidate who spends the most money on the campaign 9 out of 10 times, and Obama has angered some very influencal groups since he was elected.

By the way, just the other day I read that Meg Whitman paid 71 million dollars from her own fortune just to win some californian republic primary election. Can someone from the US explain to me what makes the position of governor of california so profitable that the chance of being elected alone is worth 71 million dollars of your own fortune? I somehow doubt the wage for being governor of california is anywhere near that number.