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Smooth Criminal said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Smooth Criminal said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Smooth Criminal said:
Wii looks all good for now, but I don't think it'll quite reach 100 million. Maybe more like 60-80 million because I strongly believe its appeal will slowly start fading out while PS3's appeal will grow stronger as time moves forward to the future.

My predictions are like this, for end of lifetime sales:

PS3 - just under or just over 100 million (keep in mind all the PS2 users out there still)
Wii - 60-80 million
360 - 50-60 million

Brand loyalty is largely a myth, those who bought a PS2 are buying a Wii games like GTA only sold to a small group (1/8 PS2 owners), PS3 lacks the games that the PS2 had to attract people


That's a very valid point, actually. But still, during the time of PS2's era, that was the DOMINANT console of its generation and the only one that is still selling strong into the NEXT generation. I don't think this has been done before.

Now THIS generation, it seems there won't be a CLEAR dominant console like the PS2 was. The market is far and away too split up for any of the consoles to sell the way the PS2 has...and not two ways, but 3 ways as the PS3 is showing no signs of slowing down (it was behind and came at a HUGE price point...that was its achilles heel, so to speak.) The PS3 may make it through (it will take a long time, I'm sure) because eventually I see BIG things for the console, especially when most people are going to settle for HD and all the new, fancy technology that is coming out (or is out right now.)

In any case, it'll be interesting, to say the least how these numbers will be split up between the 3.


PS3 has yet to breach GCN numbers in Japan or NA, and 360 is only strong in NA, the thing is neither console is that dangerous to Wii as they are fighting over the same group, while Wii is targeting everyone, with their concern being indifference, Wii is the only console capable of reaching 100 million ,and probably more


 Yeah, but don't forget the fact that the Wii may only seem impressive now due to its speedy sales figures (and lets face it, price has ALOT to do with this). I think it's already slowing down and it hasn't reached 20 million worldwide yet. I expect PHENOMENALLY quick sales figures but in the end, the number will decline. I don't think the majority of "console" gamers, in the end, will settle for a platform that is basically no different that could be found last gen. I think the 360 is quite competitive right now with the Wii and the PS3 will have crazy legs...little by little, I think many will see just how far the PS3 can go as more games come out for it, it becomes less expensive to the consumers and when people begin accomodating HD TV's and its technology more and more.

The thing is, for many gamers, the PS2 remains to be the most popular console in terms of usage. I KNOW there must be many gamers out there that still want to grab a hold of a PS3 but something is holding them back - be it lack of games, the price or whatever. 


 Sorry dud, but its not slowing down, that's a very ignorant comment, there isn't supply, you can't sell what you don't have, you can't sell beyond your production possibilities frontier, its just not possible.

Last gen tech didn't hurt the NES sales when it came out, why would it hurt the Wii, higher tech didn't save the gaming PC's and it won't save the PS3 and 360, because most people have no interest in those systems as sales are showing even with Wii supply constraints 



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)