I usually make it a strong point not to talk about politics online. However, I just wanted to enter in here to state that trying to guess if someone is going to win an election a year and a half before they do is nearly impossible. Even with that person having a 46% rating in polls and seemingly behind in democric appeal, that appeal can change in an instant. It happened for former president Bush due to 9/11 and it can happen to him for any number of circumstances. From an upswing in the economy to finding a major terrorist hideout 6 months before the election.











