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Sigh, If Natal is reasonably priced the PS3 will not over take the 360.  If the 360 drops price this year (which they will), then it is 2008 all over again where the 360 will win the holidays with by  a few million and the gap will be 8 MM again.  If MS decides to go for the jugular and do both then the PS3 will get swamped.

 

The other thing to remember is that Japan is completely irrelevant this gen and will be even more so leading into next gen so the Japanese numbers should probably be thrown out.