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You can make potentially great games with motion controls like socom 4, but making hardcore games like this will definately have a big risk.

the hardcore gamers propably don't need the motion controls (I don't atleast), while the game itself is VERY niche genre with casuals if you consider that most casual gamers seem to just go with the simple sports/fitness games and are uninformed about the gaming trends, and are content with mediocre games when there would be much better available.

So for a game company wouldn't it be better to release a sports game rather than FPS for example? I would think the Sports game would sell twice the amount of copies than Socom 4 if it just had a decent TV-commercial, because there's multiple times more potential casual buyers compared to hardcore.

I fear the game studios start to prefer the simplistic motion control games on 360/PS3 because that's where the bigger customer base is, over well-written storylines and decent gameplay.