| mrstickball said: It really depends on who the GOP runs. If things go the way they are - and Obama stays a wimpy-fisted Jimmy Carter clone, he will be a one-termer. If he becomes more Clintonesque, then he may have a good chance. Back to my first statement - it really depends on who the GOP fields. With Ron Paul or Gary Johnson...I think they can win. They won't win, however, with a Palin or Romney.
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Romney would be their best bet out of that field. As much noise as Libertarianism is making now, ultimately their beliefs are still unacceptable, point blank. Palin is a mainstream liability, even if she's good at firing the fringes, which could lead to an interesting primary run. Romney's got that middle-of-the-road ability that he would have the best chance, especially given his Massachusetts past.
I think that if the Republicans upset this midterm, they're going to look a lot worse in 2012, because by then the romance of a 2nd contract with America will have expired when it fails just like the first did. Which isn't to say that it's a fundamentally bad platform, but its trying to tamper with things that are too set in the American psyche. If the Republicans get their chance and come up short, the winds will switch back again.
Ultimately it'll come down to a weak candidate from the Republicans. They won't be able to nab the center (at least this time), which Obama has proven quite adept at.
Monster Hunter: pissing me off since 2010.
