Boutros said:
binary solo said:
Boutros said:
Of course it will reach 200$ million worldwide :/
Is there really someone thinking otherwise?
It will make money no doubt.
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Conventional wisdom says the box office gross needs to be almost double the production budget for the studio to make a profit from the theatrical release. If it doesn't make that then it's reliant on DVD/BR sales and rentals to be profitable. PoP needs to make $400 million worldwide to make money.
From a box office only perspective PoP is the PS3 of VG movies: over priced (high budget), making a loss (at the box office) and reliant on peripherals to make money (DVD/BR sales & rentals, and merchandising (if there's any to be had)). Whereas other VG adaptations have been like the Wii: cheap to make and profitable because of it.
Why did they make 3 Resident Evil movies when the first 2 had mediocre box office performances and pretty crappy reviews? Because despite only doing below average at the box office the budgets were even lower so they all made a modest profit from the theatrical release and hence the DVD/BR sales were cherries on the top. Though I think Extinction was the highest budget movie so while also highest grossing worldwide may have been the least profitable.
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I'm pretty sure it will reach above 350$ million.
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This is my call on total gross:
In America its opening weekend will be 40% of total American gross = $75 million.
American gross will be 35% of total gross = $215 million.
15% margin for error means it could get up to nearly $250 million world wide.
2nd weekend will tell us whether it'll have unusual legs in the American market. I doubt it will though. So to make $350 million it means the non-US boxoffice would need to account for about 80% of total gross. It's a very rare Hollywood movie that makes only 20% of its box office receipts in the USA.
I think Disney will break even with DVD sales. But we won't be seeing a PoP 2.
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