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Boutros said:
binary solo said:
Boutros said:

Of course it will reach 200$ million worldwide :/

Is there really someone thinking otherwise?

It will make money no doubt.

Conventional wisdom says the box office gross needs to be almost double the production budget for the studio to make a profit from the theatrical release. If it doesn't make that then it's reliant on DVD/BR sales and rentals to be profitable. PoP needs to make $400 million worldwide to make money.

From a box office only perspective PoP is the PS3 of VG movies: over priced (high budget), making a loss (at the box office) and reliant on peripherals to make money (DVD/BR sales & rentals, and merchandising (if there's any to be had)). Whereas other VG adaptations have been like the Wii: cheap to make and profitable because of it.

Why did they make 3 Resident Evil movies when the first 2 had mediocre box office performances and pretty crappy reviews? Because despite only doing below average at the box office the budgets were even lower so they all made a modest profit from the theatrical release and hence the DVD/BR sales were cherries on the top. Though I think Extinction was the highest budget movie so while also highest grossing worldwide may have been the least profitable.

I'm pretty sure it will reach above 350$ million.

This is my call on total gross:

In America its opening weekend will be 40% of total American gross = $75 million.

American gross will be 35% of total gross = $215 million.

15% margin for error means it could get up to nearly $250 million world wide.

2nd weekend will tell us whether it'll have unusual legs in the American market. I doubt it will though. So to make $350 million it means the non-US boxoffice would need to account for about 80% of total gross. It's a very rare Hollywood movie that makes only 20% of its box office receipts in the USA.

I think Disney will break even with DVD sales. But we won't be seeing a PoP 2.



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