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I don't think any of the big 3 will have a bad E3 this year.

Nintendo has the new Zelda, Xenoblade, The Last Story, Metroid Other M.
Sony has KZ3, FF XIV, Versus, LBP2, and so many other good ones.
Microsoft has Gears 3, Fable 3. (Don't know all of what they have at this time)

But if any one of them spends 90% of their conference on motion controls. Then they will fail big time.