wii the wii be the third game system to reach 100 million or the ps3?

[famousringo]

flagship said:

I think the Wii has a 50/50 shot at hitting 100 million, I see the system stopping more around 80-90 million. I think the years graphically won't be kind to the Wii and sales will drop a bit as the 360 and PS3 prices continue to drop. Also so far I see Nintendo putting out sequels for all of its big guns and I wonder what they'll have left to push the system with in a couple more years.

The PS3 has no chance in hell of reaching 100 million, Sony is going to have to release the PS4 sooner than they wish to compete with the next gen. Xbox and PC gaming.

 I really don't think that either of the arguments in the bolded sentence make much sense at all. I see them a lot, and they seem to only be grounded in wishful thinking.

On the point of graphics, the Wii already looks dated. Wii games only 'wow' with artistic presentation, not technical prowess. I just don't see why millions of people who love the Wii will suddenly turn into graphics whores and reject it in favour of a system that pushes more polygons.

 Here's where somebody usually brings up HDTV adoption rates or some such. Yeah... they don't matter. X360 and PS3 don't need an HD display to look better than Wii, and Wii owners are very likely to have an HDTV already. Wii owners aren't in this for the pixels.

 On the point of price, the Wii will always have a price advantage over the competition. If the PS3 ever gets to $200, the Wii will be down to $100. Unless, of course, it's still selling out without the cut. Sony is eating huge losses to sell the PS3 at $400, I'm not sure if it could ever sell the PS3 at $200 before the end of this generation.