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The PS2 is a nice benchmark for this question, even though the video games market is expanding.

The Wii will make 100 million for sure, since it's selling better than the PS2, and the reasons for this level of sales are going to continue being true. The PS3 has a very low chance of doing it, since it's selling considerably worse than the PS2 did, and it'll always be more expensive than the PS2 was at the same point in their lives.

100 million is a number which can only be attained by a console which appeals to casual gamers. From the current generation, guess which console that is...

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957