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Last year sold 13m with half the year at $399, so I'd assume a full year at $299 should be set for 15 million as a small increase. Only problem could be if the 'spike' immediately after the price cut is too much for consistent sales throughout the year to overcome.

We've still got to see what they've got for us at E3 I guess, as chances are the 'price cut' could just be a clever rebundling with Move but still priced at $299.