Next console gen will probably (almost certainly) be my last console purchase, and I have absolutely no desire to get on the never-ending PC upgrade spiral necessary to maintain the capability of playing the most recent PC games.
So I'd say within 10 years (or when the kids have moved out, whichever is latest, the youngest will be 21 in 10 years) I am unlikely to be actively video gaming, especiallly if the structure of the video game industry is similar to what it is today.
Of course I'll probably still play the odd game of solitaire and hearts on computer. Does that count as video gaming?
Of course in 10 year's time Natal (or something a lot like it) will be a central feature of electronic interaction in the home. So its role in entertainment, including gaming, may be such that video gaming of sorts will be part of nearly everyone's entertainment activity.
With Natal of the future who will need to audition for gameshows? Everyone will play the gameshow in their living room until the number of contestants drops from millions down to the 1 winner.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
Jimi Hendrix
