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There will probably be a PSP2 this year as well that you're not considering. I think 200 million SW for Playstation products is a fair prediction. I do agree with PSP/PS2 SW and HW decline and PS3 HW/small decline. PSP might not be as much if Sony has a big - that is U$50+ price cut - for each SKU this Fall. PS2 might also drop to U$79 and believe it or not it's still being launched and selling in developing countries, but that will be just HW as SW in those countries are all pirated.