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tbh, I'm pulling for Alan Wake. I've been interested in it since 2005 and if it does really well I'm getting a new 360.

These are my predictions:

SMG2 Metacritic 88 to 95 (I'm thinking it might be docked some as it is a sequel. Could have less to do with quality of game than biases of hc reviewers wanting some vindication.)

Sales 5 to 10 million

Alan Wake Metacritic 93 to 97:
Sales: 3 to 7 million.