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I'll base my judgement on SMG2: some reviewers will say it's better than the first so they'll givi it an higer mark, some others will say it's not as revolutionary as the first one, so the metacritic score should be about the same as the first...and few game arrived there, so I think SMG2 will have a better average score.
Salewise I believe in the power of NSMBW, which IMHO brought the character of Mario into many new houses...even if this game is 3D, probably many people will just see their new hero and buy it, and have a good surprise. Plus the userbase is bigger than 2 years ago. So I think SMG2 will have better sales than Alanwake too.



CURRENTLY PLAYING: Xenoblade (Wii), Super mario 3D land (3DS), Guild Wars (PC)