Microsoft gave Japan some great games including 360 exclusive JRPG yet it did little. But you can't blame the Japanese for having some nationalistic pride. Afterall two of the three biggest players worldwide are from Japan. One hardcore and the other arguably more mainstream so there isn't a single market in Japan that needs the 360 for their gaming needs.
Natal is really the first unique thing Microsoft will release that could appeal to the Japanese. If it is a big hit then the 360 could easily replace some Wii's in Japan. But Sony has their PS Move and will probably get more coverage thus more sales over there. The only way Microsoft has a true shot is if the PS Move cant compete with Natal but that is doubtful as both techs have unique selling points.
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