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twesterm on 28 April 2010
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Some games aren't out and some I haven't played so take some of my comments with a grain of salt if you will:

  • Red Dead Redemption -- it isn't out yet so nobody knows how it is but this one likely has the most replay value of all them.  If your pockets aren't deep then this is a great bet assuming the game is good.  Is it good?  We'll see...
  • Alan Wake -- it sounds good enough and we can only guess how long it is, but it isn't out for a while and we don't know the quality.  I wouldn't be too concerned with this one at the moment.  When it comes out who knows, you might have the money to get it.
  • Heavy Rain -- the game is max about 6 hours and there's almost no replay value.  It's good but if you can only get one game this is the worst choice if you're trying to make your choice last.  If your girlfriend wants to play it just rent it, it wont last you longer than a weekend.
  • BFBC2 -- It's out so you know the quality and it's multiplayer so it should last you.  The only thing to be worried about is how long that multiplayer will last.  When the next big game comes out is this multiplayer good enough to keep peoples attention?
  • God of War -- See Heavy Rain.  It's probably longer but it still isn't going to last long.  Also, I'm assuming you're talking about God of War 3 and if you do decide to get God of War 3, save yourself $30 and get the God of War Collection instead.  It will last you much longer and God of War 3 is God of War 2 is God of War.
  • Batman AA -- Good game again, but there's little replay value there.  The good thing is you can get this one pretty cheap.

Personally, I would say hold out for Red Dead Redemption since you can only afford a single game. 

If you can find Batman AA cheap I might also suggest Batman AA and God of War collection since that should cost about the same as the other games and should give you a lot of playtime (3 games for the price of 1).