jarrod said:
valen200 said:
HappySqurriel said:
As has already been said, it depends on what you mean by "how long does each console have left on the market?"
I could be wrong but I expect that you will have Nintendo or Microsoft releasing a new console in 2011 or 2012, and the remaining manufacturers will release their next console the following year.
All three consoles have sold enough hardware that (as long as their next generation system is backwards compatible) I suspect there will still be games on store shelves for these systems until 2015 at the earliest; and the Wii might still have software in stores (mostly in bargain bins) for a few years after that.
While many people will probably disagree with me, I think that the PS3 has the greatest risk of rapidly declining hardware sales after the next generation of consoles is released. Unless the PS3 continues to see rapid large price reductions, the PS3 could still be a relatively expensive console which has less processing power, features and is simply “less cool” in comparison to the new consoles; and that makes the PS3 a difficult sell to a lot of consumers. Systems like the Playstation, PS2, Gameboy/Gameboy Color, and Gameboy Advance were able to see decent sales for several years after their successor was released in a large part because they were such cost-effective gaming; many of these systems could be bought for $100 (or less) and you could pick up a massive collection of games (both new and used) for $5 to $20 a piece.
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Well with the Xbox to 360 transition Microsoft just quit making the system to encourage upgradeing. Now this gen they have performed much better overall, so maybe they won't try something similar but I do think it is possible Microsfot might try to force an upgrade again by stopping the 360 production. I could see the 360 thriving like the Ps2 at 100 dollars for several years, if microsoft felt inclinded to do so.
otherwise I agree with what you said.
Ps2s are still on the shelf after all this time. $100 dollar systems with a good library can fair quite well.
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No, they killed Xbox 1 because they were still taking a loss on each unit due to nVidia royalties. The market actually wanted Xbox to last longer, and consoles started getting scarce and selling at a premium by mid 2006.
Microsoft's in an entirely different position with 360. They make money on the hardware, they own all the chips, they're the defatco lead platform for the industry and they're strongly ahead of PlayStation in the west.
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Defacto Lead Platform? Is that a fancy term for second place? Besides the PS3 has been doing well lately. The 360 is in a much stronger spot than last time, but as the PS3 continues to gain it's position gradually get worse. If the 360 does not reassert dominance (as it might with Natal) it becomes in Mirosocts's best interests to start the next gen sooner.
