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@CrazzyMan : You don't even take into account the basic element of any market analysis, which is the competition.
The most stupid thing in your demonstration, is that the multiplier is set arbitrarily by yourself !
If it's more than x2 : Glory and 100M units LTD guaranteed
If it's less than x2 : 3 years of meh sales and then it's totally dead

What's the formula that gave you that essential constant which, though it was highly improbable, is exactly 2 ?