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markers said:
ps3 version can sell anywhere between 200k-1m+

all depends on if XIV delivers

And sales is only a very small part of whether its a success

It needs to be able to stick around for years. Like FFXI, it wasn't a WoW killer (as actually it came out before but)

if it sells 2 K, but conks out in 2 years. I think it would be consisdered a failure.