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The userbase on the PS3 at the moment, and when Gran Turismo 5 is released, is/will be bigger than when Gran Turismo 3 was released on the PS2, and it was heavily bundled, so if the same were to happen with Gran Turismo 5, I can see a similar 15m sales, which is very possible, it may even be higher considering all the hype it's getting so far. A first week of anywhere between 2-3m would have to be achieved in order to land between 10-15m, less if it's bundled, but I think if anything, it's the one PS3 game that can break the 2m first week barrier. Infact, I think it's safe to say I'll bet anyone otherwise.