If Sony gets it right with the PS4 meaning: reasonable price, good marketing, good launch lineup, 3D and motion controls then I think PS4 will be the leader next gen with no problem. Of course they will have to put up strong software throughout the generation like they've done this gen. Keep those new IP's coming Sony!
The only way I see the Wii 2 taking next gen is if they get the price advantage and have a strong first year software wise (a main series mario game as well as maybe zelda). Motion controls won't be new anymore next gen and Sony is going hard at 3D so it will be tough for Nintendo can out-innovate anybody next gen.
I think the only way the Nextbox will win next gen is if it gets the price advantage and MS goes very hard at getting exclusives. Oh and FFS make a reliable console please, another RRoD type thing will kill Microsoft next gen. I think the Nextbox has to be at least $50 cheaper than the PS4 and equal to or lower than the Wii 2. Also Xbox needs more exclusives; keep making good Halo games, lock up the lifetime rights to Gears of War/Left4Dead/Mass Effect and maybe buy some 3rd party exclusives like the next gen version(s) of GTA, Call of Duty or something of that magnitude. Also it wouldn't hurt to buy a couple developers like Rockstar, Insomniac, Valve or something.
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