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The thing is Sony and Microsoft had no idea going in that Nintendo's Casual player system would sell so well.  Motion controllers are just the beginning for Sony/MS, they'll want to have the type of casual-party-family games on their system like Nintendo has (again which sell well).
Sony has the studio power to do it, Microsoft needs to gain more 1st party otherwise they will not lead next gen over Sony.

I think each system will have leaders in its own regions next gen., like MS once again leading NA, Sony in others+Japan. I really have no idea where Nintendo will be in sales, they're just so unpredictable.