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Move - lack of IR makes it useless since it require complete auto aim to actually work plus it's way too pricey for being just not-that-good-copy-of-wii.
Natal - it all depends on the games library and space it needs to actually work properly. if MS can make board-type games and first person adventure titles that would use only natal and they would actually work good i might get it.
wii remote - perfect sollution for motion controls right now.