I wouldn't be surprised if it never does. Sony and Microsoft are adopting their own motion-sensing mechanisms for game-play, and Wii is losing popularity due to so many low rated games. I own all three consoles: 24 games for PS3, 20 games for 360, 0 games for Wii. I simply use it to play my old Resident Evil games and LoZ: Ocarina of Time. My wife owns 3 games for the Wii that she occasionally plays, but most of her games are Game Cube. We were VERY excited to purchase the Wii, but just haven't had much pleasure with it. From what I've seen, most people are experiencing the same thing. My niece was having more fun with my PSP than she was with the Wii.
Lastly, I predict that a very large portion of the Wii owners are not even avid gamers. For example, my wife's parents enjoy playing the Wii, as does my mother, my uncle, my older sister, etc. My best friends, however, who are hard-corp. gamers, play the PS3 and Xbox 360. Families are beginning to purchase PS3 for the Blu-ray, and with the Motion Controller they can get the same abilities as the Wii. Many will also go to Xbox 360 because of project Natal. Eventually Wii sales will slow down greatly and just consist of the TRUE Nintendo fans, which based on Game Cube and Nintendo 64 sales, is a much smaller number.
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