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steverhcp02 said:

exactly. But thats a double edged sword because with consumer confusion and stocking both of these items next to each other theres no way to peg how adoption would be for one format.


The consumer is much more confused than most people here are willing to acknowledge. Consider the following:

(1) Many consumers are confused and think DVD is high definition, despite hearing that stuff is available on "DVD and High Def" or, even more confusing, "DVD and Blu-Ray"

(2) Those consumers don't realize that their expensive HD TV sets need an input better than composite and that their DVD player should be set to 16:9, not 4:3. Their screen is stretched, and when you fix it they "don't notice any difference."

(3) Many of them will not notice the difference between HD discs and regular DVD unless they were put side-by-side.

These people will notice, however, that they can get the DVD for $7.99 whereas the BD/HD-DVD cost $25.  Do you think they'll buy the expensive one?