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mesoteto said:
its a moot point b/c it will never be as big as DVD, the trend is going towards just down loading your movies to a Hard Drive and playing them there, so ....

 exactly. But thats a double edged sword because with consumer confusion and stocking both of these items next to each other theres no way to peg how adoption would be for one format. Until then ill just have to guess that, and this is what the threads about, Sony winning the format war would put BD drives into PC's, BD players in peoples home who want ot watch HD movies (which will be a bigger consumer base than the trade off of a PS3 without having a BD drive) plus  it would be clear to the consumer.......either way, hi def movies WILL NOT reach dvd levels, let me say that first, butwhat studios are looking for is a spark.....if we get one format DVDs wont go away, if ever, that doesnt make HDM a niche market, if DVD sales plus HDM sales > DVD sales before then its a win......it doesnt have to be HDM > DVD liek some want to make it out to be.

Plus everyone is forgetting about BD drives in PC as a storage medium....there is A LOT of fascets for BD other than home cinema viewing that sony would be capitalizing on.