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I'm not talking about the actual hardware or games but the success of the product

Everyone including analysts like Michael Pachter seem to think it will be a huge success in the casual market that the Wii created

Don't you think the PS2 already done that? It obvious the PS2 had a HUGE library of hardcore games.. infact, it had the best games library ever but it was also was a huge success in the casual market, it was the consoles that everyone owned and knew

If the EyeToy only managed to sell 10.5 million units worldwide according to Wikipedia, why would Natal will be more successful?