That only further proves my point that they didn't do their homework at all, of course, and just worked off the Cliff Notes version (which they didn't even read all the way through). Those who strive to know instead of simply to think they know have come to recognize that Nintendo's home console had a rather striking drop in popularity due to a lack of the release of something quite as earth-shatteringly popular as Mario Kart Wii during 2008 or most of 2009. It's a very easy thing to spot, of course, if you have the basic knowledge set of "game sales drive console sales" and "long-selling titles sell more systems overall than blockbuster titles do".
Had they truly been interested in knowing what was going on instead of just thinking about it, they would have seen that Nintendo's would-be biggest hitters of that time, Animal Crossing and Wii Music, instead did comparative flops (3mil sold over 2 years may be impressive for some companies, but not when the flagship titles that push the system break eight to ten times that in 2 years). Nothing kills momentum faster than putting the brakes on the proverbial steam engine by breaking the flow of system sellers.
And furthermore, had they studied their history of game sales (a brief search on this site for "Mario" combined with noticing the trend of the first-iteration releases of any given 2D Mario game selling more than any of the full-3D ones), they would have realized that this momentum drop was temporary at best since there was a genuinely new 2D Mario right around the corner. But, as noted, they did not do their homework, and their presentation comes off as more of a "what if all water suddenly turned into air" sort of presentation than a "what if reality continues to work the way it seems to work" presentation. Their arguments probably make perfect sense in the context they're working in, but the context they're working in doesn't really mesh up with anything that's likely to happen.
Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.
