Mafia Round 15A - Game Thread - Vanilla Round

[dtewi]

theRepublic said:
I think the question to ask is why SciFiBoy died. Yesterday, he lead the questioning of ArkZero. ArkZero ended up looking guilty enough to end up second on most people's suspect list. SciFiBoy then ends up dead. I see three possibilities:

A. ArkZero is mafia. SciFiBoy was killed to relieve the pressure that was on him.

B. Arkzero is innocent. The mafia killed SciFiBoy to make ArkZero look even more guilty.

C. It has nothing to do with ArkZero. The mafia had some other motive for killing SciFiBoy.

I think C is pretty unlikely. That leaves A or B. Possibility A has a chance to backfire, bringing more attention to ArkZero. Maybe the mafia felt they couldn't risk the continued pressure from SciFiBoy. Possibility B puts us in a bad position. All it takes is one mis-lynch for us to lose.

So how good do we think SciFiBoy is at the game? Possibility A requires that he picked out scum. Possibility B requires that he was wrong and picked out an innocent player. Which of those is more likely?

Still, ArkZero remains one of my better suspects from yesterday.

That would be absolutely brilliant.

They kill someone else and Arkzero still dies.

*sigh*

Is a lynch worth it today? Or should the cop investigate arkzero and hopefully stay alive and give us good news?

TheRepublic, I'm counting on you to figure out the probablities since you're so good at that stuff.