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I actually did read most of that OP

 

Its going to be software brotha, games.  Wii, in its current form, will push through 2011 and 2012 based on software.  There could be another peripheral on the way too in the mean time, but not necessarily.  M+, BB, and the Vitality sensor is a wide enough base to keep Wii development interesting for another few years.

 

2013 seems like the year to me.