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I don't think it will be anywhere near the success of the Wii, but it can be a success, it just depends on the games.

The Move just isn't going to attract the casual crowd the Wii has. The PS3 doesn't have the name or reputation amongst parents for that so that's out. It can attract the core audience, but it really needs games that differentiate it from Wii games.

We know it can do HD Wii games which is cool, but they really need to show things that I can't already play on the Wii if they expect people to buy it.

Honestly, I think it will be heavily promoted but not fully utilized and slowly die off and see less and less support.