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Well the 3DS will force the PSP-2 to come out this year, but home consoles could still run for two years or so before X720/PS4.
Not trying to sound like a fanboy, but to be honest I think the Wii is more susceptible to medium-term sales decay and thus the unveiling of a successor. This too could force Microsoft and Sony to release their home consoles a full year earlier in the worst case.