Will nextbox use blueray?

[Squilliam]

joeorc said:

Squilliam said:

It doesn't count the whole of the market. For example 42% of Netflix subscribers streamed video on demand for at least 15 minutes in 2009. Which means of the 9.6% of U.S. households with Netflix about 4% of them did video on demand through that service. These numbers aren't counted at all towards that $200 revenue figure. Nor does it count advertising supported streaming on Youtube and Hulu and other sites. In addition to this, Porn sites are moving to an on demand model which is probably not counted either. It probably only counts direct downloads through various sites like iTunes and not the Live services where Microsoft/Sony doesn't release any numbers either.

nor does any tracking service for that matter:

they take sample's and track the data. just like any tracking service does. but the point is they have their data, you than decide if you think it's accurate enough. that's all you can do. Digital download's are not as big as physical Media an most likely that will not change for quite a while, esp. in the US with broadband speed's capped, it's just not going to happen for a long time , if it even ever does.

many people view digital download's hold less value than something that is on physical media, for Music that is slowly changing, but look how long even still the MP3 has not yet even replaced the CD and most likely it still will not replace the CD.Reason being, because many people have downloaded those same mp3's that many people for today but still burn them to CD for their car stereo's.

Digital download's have an even bigger hill to climb when it come's to movies. people still used DVD because it's simple, easy and it is something they can collect. there are so many  DVD player's in the market that people are going to be less likely to give up on DVD over digital download's because even today not everyone in the US has a fast broadband speed.Which still is not going to change for a very long time.

let alone digital downloads being the majority anytime soon, getting people to change their view of digital download's Value will be the biggest hurdle In my opinion , and one I think is most likely never going to change.

People like to collect thing's, yes you can indeed collect digital download's but the Value of that digital download's collection is another thing by in of itself.

If it cannot be accurate, then why bother posting it?

Many people also consider digitial downloads to be of more value as well. You can't just assume everyone wants a physical copy. I would say its a matter of convenience as cars are starting to be MP3 compatible and they are also starting to carry storage for peoples music/video files but this is a transition in progress. Transitions take time, people are still replacing their old CRT screens with thinner HDTV models for instance.

The reason why DVD is a big hill to climb is due to the 1000* difference in size between a movie and a video clip. It has nothing to do with a desire for collection as only <20% are attached to the fact that they own a physical copy, its simply a lack of convenience. The digital distribution model for movies is simply waiting on the price/storage space model for flash to improve and it will enter the market as a rental service first because it would mean you can turn your rental store into a kiosk and Red Box it.

Oh and never say never.