Impulsivity said:
First I said 5th because it would be behind both the DS and PSP. It will for sure be 4th behind the DS, the PSP really depends on how the rest of the year goes and whether theres a big price drop. VG chartz dracks mobile devices along with consoles, so it would seem they're fair game (after all if I have 300 dollars to spend on video games and I spend it on a handheld+games it really does take away from dollars spent on consoles does it not?)
As to point 1. something a certain kind of tech fanboy never gets is it is never ever about the specs. They always were talking about how the Archos had more hard drive space then the ipod, how the Zune HD has much better specs then the ipod touch, how android is so much more customizable and has this and that feature....and then their spec based product falls behind easy to use not as well speced alternatives because what matters is the TOTAL DEVICE not points on a checklist. That is why the Wii, the ipod, the iphone, the ipod touch and other such easy to use divices have been the big winners. So I guess since Natal will be easier for casuals to understand and use, and will have great marketing behind it (the other cause of those you mentioned successes) you are saying Natal will be the more popular, higher selling choice? I agree with this. It is almost impossible for most people to tell the difference between Natal and something like the eyetoy or webcam games which have been around forever. You can talk about this or that point in 3D space, but it really looks like more of the same. I remember playing games like Tekken at Dave and Busters using motion sensors like Natal, it was awful to say the least trying to match eddy's movements and everything that played well you could more or less do with an Eyetoy. That is why the Move will almost certainly do better, people know the Wii solution, they like it, the Move is a slightly better version of that which you can do with games that don't look so 2001 as Wii games do, win win. Only, the people who buy the Wii could care less about having HD graphics and aren't going to spend even more money to get a PS3 for something they can have on the Wii. At least with Natal it would be cheaper and something different. Oh and I guess you are one of the people that still fails to realize that Natal is targetting the hundreds of millions of people that don't even play games on the Wii because they can't grasp using a controller at all. As to 2) Crackdown was an also ran game that only did even remotely well because it came with a Halo Demo, Splinter Cell is coming for PC, and if history is any indication wtih SC games Sony systems as well, Halo...I mean who is interested in more space marine games that hasn't already bought a 360 years ago? That won't expand the market at all. Neither will any Sony game released. Their last big system seller is GT5. After that, no games released will really expand the market for any console. Also, I don't see how Splinter Cell on PC has anything to do with the conversation. If it goes PS3 it will be months later, but I still doubt it ever will. SC has always been much more popular on Xbox than PC or Playstation. Alan Wake might or might not, I have a hard time imagining it getting the buzz of something like Heavy Rain which I kept running into even on completely non video game related sites (even on the front page of the New York Times). Something tells me it will be like a better version of Silent Hill more then a revolutionary gameplay experience like Heavy Rain. All the game buzz has been on the Sony side for a good while now, and it seems like that will continue through the end of the year with a short break for Halo (though I don't remember the ODST spinoff making that big a splash, maybe the ship has sailed post Halo 3?) Yay, more failed logic and anti Halo talk. I mean I knew this whole time you really have no clue what you are talking about, and this post just further adds to that. How can you call Heavy Rain revolutionary? Games like Heavy Rain have been around for years. Including Quantic Dream's own past games. I don't know where you follow this "game buzz" but it seems like MS has been reaping all of that for 2010 so far. Mass Effect 2 was a big splash. All the talk of Natal, 360 slim, price cut, etc will ensure the 360 keeps the game buzz and will outsell the PS3 WW for 2010.
As to 3) Exactly 1 Gamestop in the entire LA area has a PS3 at 299 in stock today, and only 1 PS3 at that (out of 50 gamestops). It's backordered on all the online sites. I can find a 360 anywhere, hundreds of them sitting there. I doubt Sony is that worried about demand at this point in time. I doubt 50 bucks off a no hard drive no wifi no blu ray 360 is going to make a huge difference. How does any of that apply to what I said? They are failing to meet "demand" becaus they are artificially causing it. They could easily catch up with demand by now. They were able to produce millions of PS3 slims in just 1 month in time to have them ready for the holidays so why would they suddenly be unable to meet demand when it has dropped a lot since the holidays? As I said before, the Premium/Pro/Elite system has always been the dominant selling SKU. A price drop on that will easily spur sales well past the PS3. In fact, it appears that the PS3 must have a much higher perceived value than the PS3. You admit that yourself if people are still willing to buy it when the PS3 comes with so much more for the same price. That actually makes the PS3 seem worse off when you say it that way, so I suggest you reconsider your strategy. |
