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I disagree with 1 and 2.

3. I agree with... though it has less to do with the number of wands... as it does, there are just so many more Wiis out there, and everybody already knows about it.  So the general response will be "this is like one of those Wiis."

4. I do agree that it's going to take some serious exclusives that can match the Wii lineup if they plan for the Move to be anything more then a device that sells only to PS3 owners that don't already own Wiis rather then something that sells systems.

Still as it is, it could cut down on multiconsole ownership, which thanks to the wii appears to be at an all time high.