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nightsurge said:
I would like to comment on just a few points.

A) The 70% of console sales comes from sub $200 price tag applied to all previous generations. However what is very different this time around is the starting price was much higher and prices have dropped at a slower rate. Therefore it is very likely that this generation that percentage would be much lower. I also don't see the PS3 reaching a sub $200 price until late 2011 at the earliest and maybe not till 2012.

B) 360 slim rumors keep mounting big time. That means the 360 will be much cheaper to produce. They also skipped a year with no price cut. I wouldn't be surprised to see a new 360 design + price cut + Natal and big title games this fall to really give 360 a boost over this holiday.

Only thing I agree with is that the Wii has pretty much guaranteed first place.

A) this is true, very true, but there is something psychological about a 200$ pricepoint that turns a console into an impulse buy. It's easily affordable with one paycheck, and you can get a game or two + warranty on top of it, with spending money for the rest of the week. While I agree that the actual 70% may be lower this year, it is important to note that 300$ is a disadvantage.