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Most Halo fans already have a Xbox 360. So Halo reach won't have a big impact on sales. Just look at the small impact Halo ODST had for the 360. I reckon a price cut is the only thing that will put microsoft ahead but with Microsoft trying to push Natal aswel I think a price cuts out of the question for them.

Also I bet anyone here that Sonys going to have at least 4 exclusive titles for this fall and one of them being GT5