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By GTA4, I expect:

250 Arcade
325 Premium (I'd say 300, but I think MS would like some profit for a little longer)
400 Elite

Getting to 250 Arcade will help them rope casuals away from the Wii. A 100 dollar price difference will rope everyone away from the PS3. Sony would be forced into insanity trying to justify another price cut on the PS3. Nintendo wouldn't be as pressured, except they are still struggling to meet demand. Any unfulfilled Wii customer could become a 360 customer for no extra cost.

Having the Elite for 400 would nicely tie in with "hardcore" gamers who need the real gaming console. At that point it's the Bluray player vs XBox's library.



There is no such thing as a console war. This is the first step to game design.